Thursday, January 24, 2013

Israeli Election Results

What a close call!  This was much closer than any previous predictions or polls (exit or otherwise)

In order of seats counted

  • Likud-Yisrael Beiteinu  31 seats

  • Yesh Atid 19

  • Labor 15

  • Shas 11

  • Habayit Hayehudi 11

  • United Torah Judaism 7

  • Hatnuah 6

  • Meretz 6

  • United Arab List-Ta’al 5

  • Balad 3

  • Kadima 2

The Right vs Left Bloc shows as 60:60, although this includes the Ultra Religious and the Arab Parties. 

Now come the coalition negotiations.  Shas is likely to be on the outer, especially after their accusation against Habayit Hayehudi are against the Torah.  HH are likely partners for Likud.  This leaves Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, as a seemingly good fit.

This demonstrates an obvious move to the Left, mainly a desire for change, and a new leadership style.  Bibi should retain power, but this will be a much different coalition, I would expect.

Labour have continued to be self defeatist, and the Arab parties negotiated a larger than expected turnout.  Tzipi Livni returns, even after most polls suggested she wouldn't

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